If we say so-and-so will visit our offices next Thursday and place a large order, and they do so can we claim the credit? Or would they have turned up anyway, regardless? Climate change scientists face the same dilemma when they write their reports. However, with the wisdom of hindsight we may ask was 2012 a good year for climate prophecy …
How Was 2012 a Good Year for Climate Prophecy?
Phys.Org is not given to speculation. We normally find it in a niche where it dispassionately advises the facts. Realities like unprecedented heatwaves, increasingly destructive hurricanes, and floods, famines and droughts plaguing us nowadays. Their September 13, 2022 report says we knew this would happen ten years ago.
They press us into believing a 2012 report gave us adequate warning to change our ways. Or else face unprecedented climate extremes, including record high temperatures in urban Europe, and increasing destruction from hurricanes in diverse places. Not to mention devastating droughts and famines in parts of Africa the world passes by.
Did We Forget the 2012 Intergovernmental Report?
The 2012 special report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was almost clairvoyant, Phys.Org says (see link below). That’s because it had an almost supernatural ability to peer into the future. The panel included some of the world’s finest scientific minds, and it was endorsed by the World’s leading nations too.
So yes, 2012 was a good year for climate prophecy because it came true. But it was a bad one for accepting our global responsibilities for our environment, because our governments did so little about it. Now ten years later its conclusion echoes down the years in these deeply disturbing words.
“A changing climate leads to changes in the frequency, intensity, spatial extent, duration, and timing of extreme weather and climate events. And this can result in unprecedented extreme weather and climate events.
There will be more heat waves, worsening droughts, increasing downpours causing floods. And stronger and wetter tropical cyclones and simply nastier disasters for people.
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