Sometimes it’s best to know the truth and then we can deal with it. Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at University of Minnesota (CIDRAP) says the coronavirus storm could last for two years. It may only subside when two-thirds of the world’s population has immunity. That’s because it appears to be most infectious before symptoms appear.
Coronavirus Storm Could Last For Two Years Despite Lock Downs
Governments in countries where the virus storm struck first are cautiously lowering their shields, says Bloomberg. They may have slowed the spread to allow their health systems to prepare, according to CIDRAP. Yet waves of the Covid-19 pandemic could continue beyond 2022.
That’s because fresh waves will continue to test us until we have an effective vaccine in place. This means the coronavirus storm could last for two years. CIDRAP sees several three possible scenarios developing until we reach that point.
Three Possible Scenarios for Which We Should Prepare
The first scenario visualizes repetitive small waves for two years, gradually decreasing in strength. Mitigation measures may have to return depending on severity.
However, scenario two is more extreme and follows the 1918-1919 ‘Spanish Flu’ pattern. A small second wave is followed by a large tsunami in six-to-nine-months’ time. Several smaller waves follow after that.
The third scenario would be a ‘slow burn’ after a second wave in 2020. There would be no clear pattern, what happens next would depend on local mitigation efforts. This scenario has not occurred with previous influenza epidemics and we have no precedents for it.
Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at University of Minnesota says we should prepare for a long haul. The coronavirus storm could last for several years with ‘hot spots’ appearing in diverse places. It will however still continue circulating after that, with the severity of seasonal recurrences gradually diminishing.
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Preview Image: Angry Waves at Bluff Beach
